New Polling Finds Extending Healthcare Premium Tax Credits Is a Winning Issue for Republicans in Five Key U.S. Senate Races

Four Different Pollsters from across the country found that voters from key states support extending the healthcare enhanced premium tax credits and will reward Republican candidates for U.S. Senate who do so

WASHINGTON – Plymouth Union Public Advocacy, a conservative non-profit organization that aims to advance public policies that make America stronger and more prosperous, concluded a multi-state and multi-pollster research effort that found Americans across the country support the enhanced premium tax credits Americans use to afford health care (eAPTCs) and want Congress to extend them before they expire at the end of the year. 

Polling from a variety of pollsters in the states of MichiganNorth CarolinaFloridaTexas, and Georgia all found that their states’ voters would be more likely to vote for their Republican candidate for U.S. Senate if they supported extending the eAPTCs, and less likely to vote for a GOP candidate if they let the tax credits expire.

  • The Tyson Group found that 46% of Florida’s unsure voters are MORE likely to vote for Senator Ashley Moody if she extended eAPTCs, and 52% are LESS likely to vote for Moody if she lets eAPTCs expire. 
  • Peak Insights found that a wide majority of Georgia voters say health insurance coverage is important and they overwhelmingly support providing tax credits to help purchase it.
  • Polling from Cyngal found that Texas Sen. John Cornyn trails a generic Democrat by 10 points (34-44) if he votes against the healthcare tax credit extension.
  • When asked by Public Opinion Strategies if North Carolina voters would be more likely or less likely to vote for a candidate for U.S. Senate if they supported allowing the health care premium tax credit to expire, a majority (57%) said they would be less likely to vote for the candidate, including nearly half (45%) who would be MUCH less likely. 
  • The Tyson Group found that 68% of Michigan voters want Congress to extend the healthcare tax credits. Notably, Michiganders who voted for Trump are +17% in their support for extending the tax credits. 

The healthcare tax credits are a key discussion point as the government shutdown continues. Both Majority Leader Thune and Speaker Johnson have expressed a willingness to extend the tax credits. President Trump has also expressed support for a potential deal to extend the credits. 

In July, the President’s pollster, Tony Fabrizio, found that extending premium tax credits could be key for President Trump to hold his trifecta in the 2026 midterms. The findings show that support for premium tax credits, and their extension, among Trump voters is overwhelmingly supported (68%) and swing voters support premium tax credits and their extension at a rate of 78%. 

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